| 03/2026 | Our new paper, Benchmarking Formula 1 results using a normal model, is now available as a preprint. A long-standing question in sport is how to separate the effects of skill and luck. In Formula 1, this often comes down to distinguishing between driver performance and the performance of the car. At present, four elite teams dominate the sport and have won every major race over the past four years. In the paper, we use univariate and bivariate normal models to estimate realistic performance expectations at both the driver and team levels, distinguishing between elite and non-elite teams. This provides a more meaningful benchmark for Formula 1 results. We apply the approach to analyse the most recent fully completed F1 season (2025). You can read the paper here |
| 02/2026 | On 11th February, I will be taking part in the Annual Research Sandpit Event hosted by the School of Digital and Physical Sciences at the University of Hull. This is a fantastic opportunity to meet new colleagues and discuss research interests. My slides are available here. |
| 12/2025 | From 17-19 December I will be at the 1st Workshop of Young Analysts in Rome conference at Sapienza University in Rome (Italy). I will be presenting on 18 December at 2.30pm. Here are the slides. I am extremely grateful to the organizers for the invite. |
| 08/2025 | I have successfully completed the Postgraduate Certificate in Academic Practice (PCAP) programme at the University of Hull. As a result, I have been awarded the Fellowship of the Higher Education Academy (FHEA) |
| 03/2025 | I have just completed writing my teaching philosophy statement! It was a thoughtful process reflecting on my approach, values, and goals as an educator. I am sharing it now - check it out here. Looking forward to continuing to grow as a teacher! |
| 02/2025 | Our paper Elementary econometric and strategic analysis of curling matches has been published on Managerial Finance. We develop a Markov model of curling matches, parametrised by the probability of winning an end and the probability distribution of scoring ends. Using a maximum entropy argument, we predict that the points distribution of scoring ends should follow a constrained geometric distribution. Read the paper here |
| 01/2025 | I am teaching the module Statistical Models at the University of Hull. This is a Year 2 module for the BSc in Mathematics 2024/25. Here are the module Webpage and Slides |
| 09/2024 | During T1 of the 2024/25 academic year, I am teaching the modules Numbers, Sequences and Series and Differential Geometry at the University of Hull. You can find lecture notes and more information by following the links |
| 08/2024 | I have produced a Curriculum Evaluation for the module Statistical Models which I taght in 2023/24. This analysis is part of the final assessment for the PCAP module Curriculum Design. The presentation video and slides are available here |
| 06/2024 | Check out our paper Elementary econometric and strategic analysis of curling matches. We develop a Markov model of curling matches, parametrised by the probability of winning an end and the probability distribution of scoring ends. Using a maximum entropy argument, we predict that the points distribution of scoring ends should follow a constrained geometric distribution. Read the paper here |